‘Blu-ray more than five years left’

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26 Sep 08 11:09 by Timmie in category Uncategorized To news archive

A Sony VP, Rick Clancy, reacted on a statement from Samsung’s UK director that the Blu-ray format still has only five years left. According to Clancy this is incorrect, or even better "he couldn’t be further from the truth".

Clancy starts off with describing his understanding that both Microsoft and Toshiba aren’t immediate adopters, although he expects future market developments will persuade them. Samsung, who’s currently the second-largest seller of Blu-ray players, seems to believe this won’t happen since their UK director forecasts the blue adventure to end by 2012.

So, why are they wrong? As always the Sony camp’s first argument is console-related. "There are millions of BD-based PlayStation 3 videogame consoles in consumers’ homes around the world and this number is growing fast as the device is introduced to new global markets and to new consumers every day."

The true understanding of the console’s power is given as the main reason why Clancy expects constant growth, even for a decade to come. Developers will realize the "true power" of the console in new games to create and Blu-ray will "blend with new virtual networks like PSN and Home," Clancy explains.

Especially the latter is important for Clancy since he believes that the Blu-ray format will not only coexist with the networked era, but will actually enhance it for the years to come.

Movie-wise Clancy thinks Hollywood has only scratched the surface and as witnessed with DVD he forecasts thousands of high-def titles to be available at Best Buy, Wal-Mart and Blockbuster stores.

According to many Blu-ray’s main burden is the high priced HDTV. You need to spend thousands of bucks to at least enjoy your costing Blu-ray player. Clancy agrees on this, but notices a transition to digital TV and therefore believes many want to enjoy this in HD. After buying the TV he says people don’t mind to spend hundreds on a Blu-ray player.

Eventually all these factors will play a massive role in Blu-ray’s adoption. Clancy seems to be more than sure that the format will find its way. He even reacts on statements that sales are low…

"Oh, and for those expressing doubts about BD player sales, while we’d always like more, at Sony Electronics here in the U.S. we are doing quite well in this regard.  And I encourage you to check out the latest models featuring BD Live, which are just the start of the format’s embrace of networked connectivity and benefits for consumers."

 

20 Comments

DukeNukem
Posts: 998
Posted on: 26 Sep 08 14:56
"he couldn't be further from the truth".

Really, Rick? You can predict the future?
vikampion
Posts: 160
Posted on: 26 Sep 08 17:23
Lol...why would other hardware manufacturers want to put out Blue-ray hardware, when the only one that is selling well is the PS3. I like how he contradicts himself.
guest
Posts: 15288
Posted on: 26 Sep 08 17:44
I don't think any CE wants to put out 'Blue-ray' (what ever that is), but they do wanna out out BluRay and make money off it. Netflix + NMT gets my vote. Oh Sony......I wish you the best but V0D keeps getting better amd cheaper and Sony keeps getting..................................................????
ferd
Posts: 243
Posted on: 27 Sep 08 00:19
'Blu-ray more than five years left' ... to do what?
guest
Posts: 15288
Posted on: 28 Sep 08 02:54
'Blu-ray will be DEAD Before five years.
guest
Posts: 15288
Posted on: 28 Sep 08 03:17
Frank, sure it will be dead... ya but monkey...
Zod
Posts: 438
Posted on: 28 Sep 08 16:36
They'res no point in going in when player prices are still to close to ps3 price. If the components can start be manufactured cheaper, and you can make a buck selling them as a seperate entity, then you'll see more companies making them. It's all about cost, and they'll catch on more when that goes down. I don't really see them going away either, as UHD technology would require a really bigass tv to benefit from, which means HD technology will probably be sufficient for quite the while?
applegodel8
Posts: 151
Posted on: 28 Sep 08 16:47
i dont uderstand why they are so obsessed with bluray when holographics storage is the real future. Holographic storage has been talked about since late 1960's. And now they have a 300GB holographic writer. So why should people invest in bluray when it was obsolete the day before release. Why would someone want a disc that on average holds 50GB when you can get one that holds 300GB and then to top it off will be able to hold a couple TB in size in the future? Would'nt it be smarter to give people what they want. I have a friend how isnt hard drive crazy like me, and she is dieing for a large capasity optical disc, and i am too. I really want a 1TB optical disc so i can back my computer up without the need to buy 2 hards for every one drive i need. No disc is good for backup so i have to have 2 hds for every task, one to store and one for back up. I would rather store the backup copy on optical disc that can store 1 TB. IT would be cheaper to buy say a $10 1TB Hologrphic disc then say $150 for a 1TB HD. Stop the bluray BS and bring the damn holo discs to the consumer market and quit d**king around.
guest
Posts: 15288
Posted on: 28 Sep 08 19:00
Oh yes it would be awesome if we could buy a 1TB holographic disc for $10 to bad they go for around $150 bucks with the recorder costing $10,000. Holographs are an enterprise product and are supposed to replace tape drives they are not for mass production like movies
guest
Posts: 15288
Posted on: 28 Sep 08 19:07
Blu-ray more than 5 years? My prediction is around 15 years just like DVD! :-)
Zod
Posts: 438
Posted on: 29 Sep 08 03:02
I can see need a TB of optical space for backup purposes and what not. But if holographic doesn't become popular for another 10 years, and people build up blu-ray collections, are they going to switch again? Blu-Ray (and hd-dvd) are in HD 1080p, which means they still look good on a 60inch to 80inch TV. Blu-ray already has the capacity to do this and make it look good. So what size of TV would you need to take advantage of Ultra High Def? Pretty soon people just aren't going to have room for 100inch TV's. I think blu-ray adoption will be gradual.. but unless people have monster sized tv's, i think its demise would take even longer.
guest
Posts: 15288
Posted on: 29 Sep 08 06:10
@BluBalls: NMT can't play Blu-ray disc so it's not usefull for people who buy the disc and also wanted to play the extra features, PIP and BD-Live eh?
koba
Posts: 1066
Posted on: 29 Sep 08 17:30
Well HDTV will come....sooner or later many ppl need a HDTV to watch digital terrestrial TV.. Well in japan the transition will be completed in July 2011 and after that analog broadcasts are gone (other countries may do the transition sooner while other later but they will). So to watch TV after the transition you either need a HDTV or a tuner box.. So lets say your TV breaks down tomorrow and you need a new one....ppl then will buy a HDTV since digital terrestrial TV will be 1080p and why should you invest money in something which you know will be dead in less than 4 years. Once you have a 1080p capable TV the next thing which you will notice is the difference in picture quality of DVD and BD.. Even with upscaling the quality will never be as good as native HD. Also if you like to record shows to keep (well some do) DVD will not be sufficient for HD contents in full HD. So the next thing ppl will buy after their DVD player/recorder dies is a bluray player/recorder. So for bluray to really break through it still needs a few more years untill the transition to digital TV is done. Well maybe we will see a new and better format till then....but i doubt that that new format will be cheaper than bluray at the time of its introduction. So i think bluray will be around longer than another 5 years.
jaewest1
Posts: 145
Posted on: 29 Sep 08 21:37
Yeah Blu Ray will be dead....just like DVD was going to be killed by the mighty VHS tape. Stop it!
guest
Posts: 15288
Posted on: 30 Sep 08 10:18
@ applegodel8 - blu-ray wasn't obselete the day it came out. Only when holographic storage comes in at a decent price point will there be any chance of it making blu-ray obsolete. With it's current pricing, holographic storage is more likely to become obsolete. The concord was twice as fast as a 747 but which one became obsolete? The concord.
DukeNukem
Posts: 998
Posted on: 30 Sep 08 17:16
All I know is I'm going to buy a Blu-ray ROM drive, rent Blu-ray discs, rip Blu-ray discs (and convert to x264 for NMT), and then return rented Blu-ray discs. That's my plan.
koba
Posts: 1066
Posted on: 30 Sep 08 18:30
@DukeNukem
Sure many guys like us who understand the ripping process and how to convert the video will go that way or rip and burn to BD-R. But that is only a minority of all users (my 29 year old brother doesnt understad what ripping of a DVD is...lol so he buys DVDs he likes and most likely will do so with Bluray.). Same as with DVDs ppl who know how to rip and copy DVDs will go to the rentals and rip the disc and return the disc same day to safe on rental fees (friend of mine has his laptop in his car and rips the dvd in the parking lot of the rental shop and returns the disc right after ripping...) and later burn to DVD and build their own DVD library...but the majority of users will buy the discs and build their own library...same will hapen to Bluray. Well that is formovies they like to keep..

About price of Bluray being more expensive than DVD...remember when movies where released on VHS and DVD? DVD used to cost more than VHS (well at least in JP) and even rental fees for DVD where higher than VHS but ppl went with DVD because of the better quality and usability. Since the transition to HDTV will happen ppl will sooner or later become aware of the superior quality of movies in HD and drop DVD for bluray as they did with VHS in the past....
DukeNukem
Posts: 998
Posted on: 30 Sep 08 21:07
@ koba
"friend of mine has his laptop in his car and rips the dvd in the parking lot of the rental shop and returns the disc right after ripping".

LOL. How can you go back to the store 12 minutes after renting a DVD and say "thanks" with a straight face? What if it's a slow day and his last two customers were the SAME GUY. I can just see the expression on his face. Too friggin' funny.

I made the mistake of buying 650 movies on DVD. They cost me $12,000. I'm not going to make that mistake again. I'll buy a Blu-ray ROM drive ($150) and an NMT ($260) and throw a 1TB WD green drive in it ($150) and I'm all set.
guest
Posts: 15288
Posted on: 02 Oct 08 03:25
WHat is NMT?
guest
Posts: 15288
Posted on: 07 Oct 08 06:02
I have a 50" Full HD Plasma, but I am waiting until a manufacturer releases a BD player/recorder & burner with large HDD & with HD built in tuner..then I will go out and purchase a BD player. Until then I wait patiently with my trusty old DVD player.

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